AV¾ãÀÖ²¿

Published Wednesday by the National Post:

Everyone has an opinion about what the Obama administration and NATO allies should do to address the recent chemical-weapon attacks in Syria. What follows is a straightforward prediction about what Western leaders will do.

Barring a significant change of heart by Syria’s President Bashar al-Assad to relinquish his hold on power, and in the absence of clear evidence of the regime’s intentions to seriously curtail its attacks against the insurgency and civilian populations, U.S./NATO military intervention is inevitable.

How do I know? Because the exact same action-reaction sequence unfolded prior to similar interventions in Bosnia (1995), Iraq (Operation Desert Fox, 1998), Kosovo and Serbia (Operation Allied Force, 1999), Iraq (Operation Enduring Freedom, 2003), and Libya (Operation Unified Protector, 2011). Each of these interventions was preceded by an almost identical set of domestic and international pressures that compelled the U.S. and key allies to launch military strikes. The crisis in Syria is following a familiar script, and the same serious miscalculations are being made by the Assad regime.

Read the rest of Dr. Harvey's article at